Jasmine Paolini vs. Anastasija Sevastova Head-to-Head, Preview, Prediction, and Betting Odds for WTA China Open 2025 Round – 2
Jasmine Paolini aims to extend her strong season against resurgent Anastasija Sevastova.
Sixth seed Jasmine Paolini begins her China Open campaign against Latvia’s Anastasija Sevastova in the second round. The Italian was handed a bye, while Sevastova opened with a straight-set win over Kimberly Birrell. Paolini comes into Beijing on the back of a Billie Jena King Cup win over Jessica Pegula in straight sets. Currently ranked world No. 8 in singles and No. 5 in doubles, the 29-year-old has emerged as a force in both formats.
Her season highlights include a breakthrough title run in Rome, where she swept past Coco Gauff, and a finals showing in Cincinnati before falling to Iga Swiatek. She’s also been a consistent presence in the latter stages at big events, with semifinal appearances in Miami, Stuttgart, and Bad Homburg. Alongside Sara Errani, Paolini has lifted titles in Doha, Rome, and Roland Garros, affirming their partnership as one of the most successful this season. Across 50 singles matches, she has struck 66 aces, winning 62.1% of first-serve points and converting 48.3% of break-point opportunities.
Sevastova, meanwhile, is still rediscovering her rhythm after a 14-month layoff due to maternity leave and a torn ACL. Using a protected ranking, she returned to Madrid and has shown flashes of her old form, notably with a quarterfinal run in Rabat and a fourth-round showing in Montreal, where she stunned Jessica Pegula before falling to Naomi Osaka. In 17 matches, she’s fired 35 aces, winning 62% of first-serve points with a 42.4% break-point conversion rate.
Jasmine Paolini vs. Anastasija Sevastova Head-to-Head Record
Jasmine Paolini holds a 3-0 edge over Anastasija Sevastova. Their rivalry began in 2020 in Rome, with Paolini taking the first encounter in straight sets. In their next meeting at Cincinnati 2021, Sevastova retired mid-match due to an undisclosed reason. Most recently, they clashed at Wimbledon, where Paolini secured a hard-fought comeback victory.
| Year | Event | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Wimbledon | Round of 128 | Jasmine Paolini | 2-6, 6-3, 6-2 |
| 2021 | Cincinnati | Qualifying R1 | Jasmine Paolini | 6-1, 2-1 ret. |
| 2020 | Rome | Round of 64 | Jasmine Paolini | 6-2, 6-3 |
Jasmine Paolini vs. Anastasija Sevastova Comparison
| Jasmine Paolini | Category | Anastasija Sevastova |
| 8 | Current Ranking | 221 |
| 421-285 | Career W-L | 457-278 |
| 35-15 | YTD W-L | 9-10 |
| 3 | Career Titles | 4 |
| 0 | Grand Slams | 0 |
| 1 | YTD Titles | 0 |
Jasmine Paolini vs. Anastasija Sevastova Prediction
Given Paolini’s form across both singles and doubles this season, coupled with her consistency against top-tier opponents, the Italian is strongly favored to advance past Sevastova.
Prediction: Jasmine Paolini in straight sets
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Jasmine Paolini vs. Anastasija Sevastova WTA China Open 2025 Betting Odds
Jasmine Paolini enters as the -550 favorite, while Anastasija Sevastova sits at +400, underscoring the bookmakers’ confidence in the sixth seed.
Here are the betting odds according to FanDuel:
Jasmine Paolini: -550
Anastija Sevastova: +400
Here are the odds for total games as well as total sets for both players (sourced via FanDuel):
Set 1 Winner Paolini: -320
Set 1 Winner Sevastova: +225
Set 1 Winner Paolini: -420
Set 1 Winner Sevastova: +280
(According to FanDuel: FanDuel offers exclusive promo codes, bonus deals and accurate odds for users upon signing up. Use FanDuel to ace your betting game in all sports!)
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